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1.
Contraception ; : 110464, 2024 Apr 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38621484

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To compare attitudes toward abortion among youth before and after the Polish Constitutional Tribunal introduced abortion ban in October 2020. STUDY DESIGN: The study uses two nationally representative samples of final-year secondary school students conducted in Poland before (year 2018, N=1,609) and after the abortion ban (year 2021, N=1,513). RESULTS: The support for abortion increased between 2018 and 2021 (OR=2.77 in foetus impairment case; OR=2.58 in women's health at risk case). The increase was stronger among females than males. CONCLUSIONS: Youth accept abortion more in 2021. The increase may be linked to the Tribunal Court decision and youth involvement in massive demonstrations.

2.
Reprod Sci ; 2024 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38622477

RESUMO

Mucin 16 (MUC16) participates in the process of embryo implantation, but few studies have examined the association between MUC16 and pregnancy loss. To investigate this association, the expression of MUC16 in serum and decidua was compared between women with pregnancy loss and ongoing pregnancies. In vitro experiments and animal models were used to explore the role and underlying mechanisms of MUC16 in pregnancy loss. In human study, the expression of MUC16 in serum and decidua was both consistently lower in the women with pregnancy loss compared with those in women with ongoing pregnancies. In vitro experiments revealed the interaction of MUC16 with peripheral blood natural killer (pNK) cells. MUC16 changed the phenotype and reduced the pro-inflammation ability of pNK cells. MUC16 also inhibited the cytotoxicity of pNK cells through the Src homology region 2 domain-containing phosphatase-1/extracellular signal-regulated kinase (SHP-ERK) pathway. Furthermore, MUC16 promoted the migration, invasion and tube formation of trophoblast cells by co-culturing together with pNK cells. In vivo experiments, the mouse model of abortion was used to further confirm that intraperitoneal administration of MUC16 could rescue the pregnancy loss. This study reveals the still-unknown connection between MUC16 and pNK cells and indicates that MUC16 provides a novel method for future prediction and treatment of unfavorable pregnancy outcomes.

3.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38632832

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Abnormalities in the reproductive functions are often ignored while evaluating a patient with celiac disease (CeD). We evaluated the entire reproductive functions in female patients with CeD. METHODS: In a case control study between 2020 and 2021 using detailed questionnaire, we evaluated reproductive functions (age at menarche, menstrual pattern, fertility, pregnancy outcome and menopause) in biopsy-proven female patients with CeD of age >10 years. The questionnaire was administered either in person or telephonically. Age-matched healthy female controls (twice the number) were also recruited. RESULTS: Of 1086 CeD patients, 470 were females and 288 were included. As compared with controls (n = 586), females with CeD had higher age at menarche (14.6 ± 2.0 vs 13.6 ± 1.5 years; P = 0.001), delayed menarche (30.8% vs 11.4%; P = 0.001), abnormal menstrual pattern (39.7% vs 25.8%; P < 0.001), involuntary delay in conception at > 1 year (33.8% vs 11.8%; P = 0.01), current infertility rate (10.5% vs 5.2%;P = 0.028), and poorer overall pregnancy outcomes (abortion [23.5% vs 12.8%; P = 0.001], pre-term birth [16.3% vs 3.7%; P = 0.001]). CONCLUSIONS: Either one or more aspect of reproductive functions and pregnancy outcome is affected adversely in three-fourth female patients with CeD.

4.
Front Physiol ; 15: 1349952, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38606010

RESUMO

Background: The impact of female reproductive factors, including age at menarche (AAM), age at first birth (AFB), age at first sexual intercourse (AFS), age at natural menopause (ANM), and pregnancy abortion (PA), on the risk of developing frailty remains uncertain. Our objective is to examine the potential causal relationship between female reproductive traits and frailty through the utilization of two-sample univariable Mendelian Randomization (UVMR) and multivariable Mendelian Randomization (MVMR) analyses. Methods: Leveraging large-scale Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) data from individuals of European ancestry, we performed two-sample UVMR and MVMR analyses to examine the causal relationship between female reproductive traits and frailty. The primary analysis employed inverse-variance-weighted (IVW) estimation, and sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the findings. Results: The UVMR analysis revealed a significant causal relationship between female reproductive traits (AFS, AFB, AAM) and frailty [IVW: OR = 0.74, 95%CI(0.70-0.79), p = 0.000; OR = 0.93, 95%CI(0.92-0.95), p = 0.000; OR = 0.96, 95%CI(0.95-0.98), p = 0.000]. However, there was no significant effect of ANM and PA on frailty (p > 0.05). The sensitivity analysis results were robust, supporting the findings. Furthermore, this association remained significant even after adjusting for body mass index (BMI) and educational attainment (EA) in the MVMR analysis [IVW: OR = 0.94, 95%Cl (0.91-0.97), p = 0.000; OR = 0.77, 95%Cl (0.70-0.86), p = 0.000; OR = 0.95, 95%Cl (0.94-0.97), p = 0.000]. BMI and EA serve as mediators in this process. Conclusion: Our research has established a significant causal relationship between female reproductive traits (AFS, AFB, AAM) and frailty, with BMI and EA acting as mediating factors in this process. However, further research is warranted to validate our findings and elucidate the underlying biological mechanisms.

5.
Hisp Health Care Int ; : 15404153241246103, 2024 Apr 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38613378

RESUMO

Introduction: The overturning of Roe v. Wade impacted family planning services in many areas of the United States (US). Our study investigates the association of acculturation with interest in and awareness of family planning hospital services of contraception and elective termination of pregnancy among Hispanic women. Methods: We surveyed 306 Hispanic women at a public hospital in a Long Island suburb of New York City. Predictor variables were acculturation (language, media, ethnic social relations) measured by the Short Acculturation Scale for Hispanics and years lived in the US. Outcome variables were interest in and awareness of hospital services of family planning for elective abortion and non-elective non-abortion family planning methods. Results: For interest in hospital services, both language and ethnic social relations acculturation were significantly positively associated with almost all family planning methods whether abortion or non-abortion. However, media acculturation and years lived in the US were significantly positively associated with abortion but not the non-abortion methods. For awareness of hospital services, only language acculturation was significantly positively associated with abortion and some nonelective non-abortion family planning methods. Conclusion: We recommend that healthcare providers and hospitals should be aware of acculturation levels when providing counseling and information about family planning methods to Hispanic women.

6.
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM ; : 101376, 2024 Apr 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38614207

RESUMO

The preconception consultation has traditionally centered pregnancy as desired and preordained. Separating preconception and contraceptive visits burdens patients and further fragments reproductive healthcare. We argue that the creation of a combined preconception and complex contraception clinic for individuals with significant medical and obstetric comorbidities is one approach to promoting reproductive autonomy. Pregnancy planning, prevention, and risk evaluation (PrePPARE) clinics are designed to review pregnancy related risks in the setting of patients' medical and obstetric comorbidities, recommend strategies to reduce risks, and, if desired, provide contraceptive methods. Consultations for pregnancy risk evaluation and pregnancy prevention should not be considered mutually exclusive. Combining these visits is critical for obstetrically and/or medically complex patients. Rethinking the traditional preconception consultation is a change in healthcare delivery that centers comprehensive reproductive healthcare.

7.
Soc Sci Med ; 348: 116873, 2024 Apr 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38615614

RESUMO

Treatment choice is a key component of quality, person-centred care, but policies promoting choice often ignore how capacity to choose is unequally distributed and influenced by social structures. In abortion care, the choice of either medication or a procedure is limited in many countries, but the structuring of treatment choice from the perspective of people accessing abortion care is poorly understood. This qualitative study explored comparative experiences of abortion treatment choice in England and Wales, using in-depth interviews with 32 people who recently accessed abortion care and had one or more prior abortions. A codebook approach was used to analyse the data, informed by a multidisciplinary framework for understanding the relationship between choice and equity. Abortion treatment choice was structured by multiple intersecting mechanisms: limitations on the supply of abortion care, incomplete or unbalanced information from providers, and participants' socio-economic environments. Long waiting times or travel distances could reduce choice of both treatment options. In interactions with providers, participants described not being offered procedural abortions or receiving information that favoured medication abortion. Participants' socio-economic environments impacted the way they navigated decision-making and their ability to manage the experience of either treatment option. Individual preferences for care were shaped in part by the interplay between these structural barriers, creating an illusion of choice, as the health system bias towards medication abortion reinforced some participants' negative perceptions of procedural abortion. The erosion of choice, to the point it is rendered illusory, has unequal impacts on quality of care. People's needs for their abortion care are complex and diverse, and access to varied service models is required to meet these needs. Treatment choice could be expanded by integrating public and private non-profit sector provision, aligning time limits and workforce requirements for abortion care with international standards, addressing financial pressures on service delivery, and revising the language used to depict each treatment option.

8.
J Med Internet Res ; 26: e48793, 2024 Apr 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38625731

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: People seeking abortion in early pregnancy have the choice between medication and procedural options for care. The choice is preference-sensitive-there is no clinically superior option and the choice depends on what matters most to the individual patient. Patient decision aids (PtDAs) are shared decision-making tools that support people in making informed, values-aligned health care choices. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop and evaluate the usability of a web-based PtDA for the Canadian context, where abortion care is publicly funded and available without legal restriction. METHODS: We used a systematic, user-centered design approach guided by principles of integrated knowledge translation. We first developed a prototype using available evidence for abortion seekers' decisional needs and the risks, benefits, and consequences of each option. We then refined the prototype through think-aloud interviews with participants at risk of unintended pregnancy ("patient" participants). Interviews were audio-recorded and documented through field notes. Finally, we conducted a web-based survey of patients and health care professionals involved with abortion care, which included the System Usability Scale. We used content analysis to identify usability issues described in the field notes and open-ended survey questions, and descriptive statistics to summarize participant characteristics and close-ended survey responses. RESULTS: A total of 61 individuals participated in this study. Further, 11 patients participated in think-aloud interviews. Overall, the response to the PtDA was positive; however, the content analysis identified issues related to the design, language, and information about the process and experience of obtaining abortion care. In response, we adapted the PtDA into an interactive website and revised it to include consistent and plain language, additional information (eg, pain experience narratives), and links to additional resources on how to find an abortion health care professional. In total, 25 patients and 25 health care professionals completed the survey. The mean System Usability Scale score met the threshold for good usability among both patient and health care professional participants. Most participants felt that the PtDA was user-friendly (patients: n=25, 100%; health care professionals: n=22, 88%), was not missing information (patients: n=21, 84%; health care professionals: n=18, 72%), and that it was appropriate for patients to complete the PtDA before a consultation (patients: n=23, 92%; health care professionals: n=23, 92%). Open-ended responses focused on improving usability by reducing the length of the PtDA and making the website more mobile-friendly. CONCLUSIONS: We systematically designed the PtDA to address an unmet need to support informed, values-aligned decision-making about the method of abortion. The design process responded to a need identified by potential users and addressed unique sensitivities related to reproductive health decision-making.


Assuntos
Aborto Induzido , Feminino , Gravidez , Humanos , Canadá , Emoções , Pessoal de Saúde , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão
9.
Soc Sci Med ; 348: 116835, 2024 Mar 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38626482

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic raised significant challenges for in-person healthcare provision, leading healthcare providers to embrace digital health like never before. Whilst changes were made as part of a public health response, many have now become permanent fixtures of the healthcare landscape, significantly altering the way care is provided not only for patients, but also for the healthcare professionals that provide care. In abortion care in England and Wales, previously stringent regulations on in-person care provision were relaxed to permit the use of telemedicine and self-administration of medications at home. These changes have since been made permanent. However, there remains opposition to remote abortion care pathways on the basis of safeguarding. Opponents argue that it is not feasible to effectively safeguard patients accessing abortion care remotely. We conducted a qualitative study using semi-structured interviews with abortion care providers in England and Wales. Participants were asked about their views and experiences of the transition to remote care provision, with a particular focus on how they adapted their safeguarding practice. In this article, we present three themes that highlight the changing roles of healthcare professionals in abortion care: (1) a challenging backdrop and resulting apprehension, (2) adaptive practices, and (3) the continued importance of professional curiosity. Across all three themes, participants reflected significantly on how changes were made and what they experienced in the period of transition to telemedicine. In particular, they discussed the changing nature of their professional roles amidst digitalisation. Our findings provide a basis for reflection on the increasing introduction of digital approaches to healthcare provision, highlighting points for caution and emphasising the need to involve professionals in the transition process to ensure vital buy-in. Through this, we articulate two novel understandings of digitalisation: (1) the impact of speed-associated pressures on professional adaptation during digitalisation, and (2) off-proforma safeguarding through telemedicine as a form of invisible non-routine work.

10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38629505

RESUMO

Objectives: We aimed to describe obstetrics and gynecology (OBGYN) trainees' anticipation of how the Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization (Dobbs) U.S. Supreme Court decision may affect their training. Methods: A REDCap survey of OBGYN residents and fellows in the United States from September 19, 2022, to December 1, 2022, queried trainees' anticipated achievement of relevant Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) training milestones, their concerns about the ability to provide care and concern about legal repercussions during training, and the importance of OBGYN competence in managing certain clinical situations for residency graduates. The primary outcome was an ACGME program trainee feeling uncertain or unable to obtain the highest level queried for a relevant ACGME milestone, including experiencing 20 abortion procedures in residency. Results: We received 469 eligible responses; the primary outcome was endorsed by 157 respondents (33.5%). After correction for confounders, significant predictors of the primary outcome were state environment (aOR = 3.94 for pending abortion restrictions; aOR = 2.71 for current abortion restrictions), trainee type (aOR = 0.21 for fellow vs. resident), and a present or past Ryan Training Program in residency (aOR = 0.55). Although the vast majority of trainees believed managing relevant clinical situations are key to OBGYN competence, 10%-30% of trainees believed they would have to stop providing the standard of care in clinical situations during training. Conclusions: This survey of OBGYN trainees indicates higher uncertainty about achieving ACGME milestones and procedural competency in clinical situations potentially affected by the Dobbs decision in states with legal restrictions on abortion.

11.
Med Anthropol Q ; 2024 Apr 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38630020

RESUMO

After the legalization of abortion in 2018, Ireland needed clinicians to become abortion providers and make this political win a medical reality. Yet Irish doctors had next-to-no training in abortion care, and barriers ranging from stigma to economic pressures in the healthcare system impacted doctors' desire to volunteer. How did hundreds of Irish doctors make the shift from family doctor to abortion provider? Drawing on ethnographic research conducted between 2017 and 2020, this article explores the process by which Irish general practitioners became abortion providers, attending to the material impact of medical technologies on that journey. Drawing from medical anthropologists who have examined similar themes of agency, pharmaceuticals, and medico-legal frameworks within the topic of assisted dying, I build on Anita Hannig's idea of "agentive displacement" to frame the productive impact of abortion pills on this transition.

12.
Plants (Basel) ; 13(7)2024 Mar 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38611525

RESUMO

Apples exhibit S-RNase-mediated self-incompatibility and typically require cross-pollination in nature. 'Hanfu' is a cultivar that produces abundant fruit after self-pollination, although it also shows a high rate of seed abortion afterwards, which greatly reduces fruit quality. In this study, we investigated the ovule development process and the mechanism of ovule abortion in apples after self-pollination. Using a DIC microscope and biomicroscope, we found that the abortion of apple ovules occurs before embryo formation and results from the failure of sperm-egg fusion. Further, we used laser-assisted microdissection (LAM) cutting and sperm and egg cell sequencing at different periods after pollination to obtain the genes related to ovule abortion. The top 40 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were further verified, and the results were consistent with switching the mechanism at the 5' end of the RNA transcript (SMART-seq). Through this study, we can preliminarily clarify the mechanism of ovule abortion in self-pollinated apple fruits and provide a gene reserve for further study and improvement of 'Hanfu' apple fruit quality.

13.
Toxicon ; 242: 107712, 2024 Apr 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38614243

RESUMO

Two outbreaks of pine needle abortions in cattle are here reported for the first time in Argentina. The cases occurred in Chubut and Neuquén provinces in the Patagonia region, causing 29.6% and 9% of abortions in each herd respectively. In both outbreaks, the dams were in the last third of gestation, and, due to a period of cold, snow and lack of available forage, they gained access to Pinus ponderosa and Pinus contorta forests. No pathological lesions, serological, molecular, or microbiological evidence of infectious causes were observed in any of the six fetuses analyzed. Microhistological analysis of feces confirmed higher presence of fragments of Pinus spp. needles in the diet of affected dams than in that of non-affected ones (12.2 vs 3.0%). Moreover, toxicological analysis showed higher tetrahydroagathic acid in the sera of affected dams than in that of non-affected ones (10.05 vs 2.81 ppm). In addition, this acid was detected in different fetal fluids (3.6-8.1 ppm) of the six fetuses analyzed. Interestingly, isocupressic acid was detected only in needles of P. ponderosa, and its content was lower than that found in other areas of the world (0.31 and 0.5% in Chubut and Neuquén respectively). These results confirm that the consumption of P. ponderosa by dams could have been the cause of these abortion outbreaks, a fact that should be considered as differential diagnosis in abortions of cattle, especially in silvopastoral systems of Argentina.

14.
Gynecol Oncol Rep ; 52: 101375, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38571565

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Twin pregnancies consisting of a complete hydatidiform mole and a coexistent fetus (CMCF) are rare and associated with a high rate of maternal-fetal morbidity and mortality. Management of these pregnancies remains controversial and increasingly challenging following the Dobbs versus Jackson Women's Health decision given the viability of the coexisting twin fetus. CASE: This case looks at the diagnosis, management, and maternal-fetal outcomes of a viable fetus coexisting molar pregnancy at a large academic center in an abortion-restricted state. CONCLUSION: CMCF pregnancies are associated with a high risk of morbidity and mortality and are increasingly difficult to manage following the Dobbs decision. Testing platforms, which identify genetic abnormalities in the first trimester, are increasingly important as access to abortion care in the United States is restricted.

16.
Contraception ; : 110445, 2024 Apr 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38574943

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The Guttmacher Institute estimated that, in 2014, 24% of US women of reproductive age would have an abortion by age 45 if the 2014 abortion rate was maintained. This study updates the estimated lifetime incidence of abortion in the year(s) just prior to the Dobbs decision, which removed federal protections for abortion. STUDY DESIGN: We used data from the Guttmacher Institute's 2021-2022 Abortion Patient Survey (APS) and population data for 2020 and 2021 from the Census Bureau, as well as abortion counts from the Guttmacher Institute's 2020 Abortion Provider Census, to estimate abortion rates, first abortion rates and cumulative abortion rates, all by age group. We calculated multiple estimates of lifetime incidence under varying hypothetical conditions as tests of sensitivity. RESULTS: We estimate that 24.7% (95% CI: 22.9-26.3) of women aged 15-44 in 2020 would have had an abortion by age 45 if abortion rates in 2020 remain constant. These figures changed slightly when we examined scenarios assuming a 5% increase in abortion between 2020 and 2021 (25.9, 95% CI: 24.0-27.6) and when we adjusted for the potential overrepresentation of adolescent and young adult respondents in the 2021-2022 APS (23.9, 95% CI: 22.2-25.6). CONCLUSIONS: In the year(s) prior to the Dobbs decision, one-quarter of US women would have been expected to have at least one abortion in their lifetime if abortion rates for those years stayed the same. IMPLICATIONS: Significant numbers of individuals are being affected by abortion bans, but we are unable to predict how these restrictions will impact abortion incidence or the lifetime incidence in the coming years.

18.
Health Equity ; 8(1): 189-197, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38559845

RESUMO

Introduction: In 2017, Chile decriminalized abortion on three grounds: (i) if the pregnant person's life is at risk, (ii) fetal nonviability, and (iii) rape or incest. This multicase study explores the experiences of pregnant people legally entitled to but denied access to legal abortion in Chile. Methods: Through a snowball sampling approach, we recruited adult Chilean residents who sought, were eligible for, and were denied a legal abortion after September 2017. We conducted semistructured interviews with participants to explore their experiences in seeking and being denied legal abortions. We recorded and transcribed the interviews, then coded and analyzed the transcriptions to identify common themes. Results: We identified four women who met the eligibility criteria. The interviews revealed five common themes in their experiences: (i) disparate levels of social support in accessing abortion, (ii) abundant access barriers, (iii) forced pregnancy, (iv) abortion stigma, and (v) a failure of the law to provide access to abortion. Discussion and Health Equity Implications: Although the 2017 law expanded legal access to abortion in Chile, significant barriers remain. Compounded with social stigma, and the socioeconomic disparities in abortion access, pregnant people continue to face insurmountable obstacles in obtaining legal abortions, even when their lives are at risk and the pregnancy is not viable. The state must prioritize equity of access to legal abortions. Future studies should continue to explore the challenges people face accessing legal abortion care to inform strategies to ensure people are able to obtain the quality care that they are legally entitled to.

19.
Mol Hortic ; 4(1): 12, 2024 Apr 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38561782

RESUMO

Although there is increasing evidence suggesting that DNA methylation regulates seed development, the underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Therefore, we aimed to shed light on this by conducting whole-genome bisulfite sequencing using seeds from the large-seeded cultivar 'HZ' and the abortive-seeded cultivar 'NMC'. Our analysis revealed that the 'HZ' seeds exhibited a hypermethylation level compared to the 'NMC' seeds. Furthermore, we found that the genes associated with differentially methylated regions (DMRs) and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were mainly enriched in the reactive oxygen species (ROS) metabolic pathway. To investigate this further, we conducted nitroblue tetrazolium (NBT) and 2,7-Dichlorodihydrofluorescein (DCF) staining, which demonstrated a significantly higher amount of ROS in the 'NMC' seeds compared to the 'HZ' seeds. Moreover, we identified that the gene LcGPX6, involved in ROS scavenging, exhibited hypermethylation levels and parallelly lower expression levels in 'NMC' seeds compared to 'HZ' seeds. Interestingly, the ectopic expression of LcGPX6 in Arabidopsis enhanced ROS scavenging and resulted in lower seed production. Together, we suggest that DNA methylation-mediated ROS production plays a significant role in seed development in litchi, during which hypermethylation levels of LcGPX6 might repress its expression, resulting in the accumulation of excessive ROS and ultimately leading to seed abortion.

20.
Fertil Steril ; 2024 Apr 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38604264

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To use self-reported preconception data to derive models that predict risk of miscarriage. DESIGN: Prospective preconception cohort study. SUBJECTS: Study participants were female, aged 21-45 years, residents of the United States or Canada, and attempting spontaneous pregnancy at enrollment during 2013-2022. Participants were followed for up to 12 months of pregnancy attempts; those who conceived were followed through pregnancy and postpartum. We restricted analyses to participants who conceived during the study period. EXPOSURE: On baseline and follow-up questionnaires completed every 8 weeks until pregnancy, we collected self-reported data on sociodemographic factors, reproductive history, lifestyle, anthropometrics, diet, medical history, and male partner characteristics. We included 160 potential predictor variables in our models. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was miscarriage, defined as pregnancy loss before 20 weeks' gestation. We followed participants from their first positive pregnancy test until miscarriage or a censoring event (induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, loss to follow-up, or 20 weeks' gestation), whichever occurred first. We fit both survival and static models, using Cox proportional hazards models, logistic regression, support vector machines, Gradient Boosted Trees, and Random Forest algorithms. We evaluated model performance using the concordance index (survival models) and the weighted-F1 score (static models). RESULTS: Among 8,720 participants who conceived, 20.4% reported miscarriage. In multivariable models, the strongest predictors of miscarriage were female age, history of miscarriage, and male partner age. The weighted-F1 score ranged from 73-89% for static models and the concordance index ranged from 53-56% for survival models, indicating better discrimination for the static models compared with the survival models (i.e., ability of the model to discriminate between individuals with and without miscarriage). No appreciable differences were observed across strata of miscarriage history or among models restricted to ≥8 weeks' gestation. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that miscarriage is not easily predicted based on preconception lifestyle characteristics, and that advancing age and history of miscarriage are the most important predictors of incident miscarriage.

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